Major League Soccer

Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Vazquez (20')
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Morgan (29' pen.)
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	19	16	33
2	New York Red Bulls	19	7	32
3	CF Montreal	18	1	29

We said: FC Cincinnati 0-1 New York Red Bulls

Only one of the seven MLS encounters between Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls has seen more than two goals scored, so a closely-fought contest could be on the cards in Ohio. Both sides will be confident of claiming maximum points from Sunday's fixture, but we feel that the visitors will do just enough to come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
31.47% ( -0.12)	26.32% ( 0.66)	42.2% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

-2.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.57% (

-2.77)

52.43% (

2.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.89% (

-2.43)

74.11% (

2.43)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

-1.48)

30.92% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79% (

-1.77)

67.21% (

1.77)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

-1.49)

24.6% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

-2.13)

59.1% (

2.13)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 31.47%

New York Red Bulls 42.2%

Draw 26.32%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.47%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.2%