Major League Soccer

May 29, 2022 at 12am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
4 - 1
DC United

Luquinhas (54', 58'), Morgan (63'), Alfaro (90' og.)
Klimala (50'), (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kamara (87')
Hines-Ike (27'), Djeffal (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Charlotte FC vs. NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 DC United

Both sides will view this fixture as a winnable game as they look turn their fortunes around in the league and climb the table. Goals are to be expected at the Red Bull Arena and we can see the hosts building on their MLS Cup success in midweek by securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	DC United
50.87% ( 0.47)	25.72% ( -0.15)	23.4% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.17% (

0.28)

54.82% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

0.23)

76.12% (

-0.23)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

0.32)

21.59% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

0.49)

54.68% (

-0.49)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32% (

-0.14)

38.68% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58% (

-0.14)

75.42% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 50.87%

DC United 23.4%

Draw 25.71%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.87%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.4%