Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.