Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.