Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
We said: DC United 1-2 New York City FC
The hosts will be on a relative high following their comeback last time out, but we do not see them matching the strong visiting outfit who come into the game in a hot streak of form.
Deila's side have plenty of quality in their ranks, and we see them outclassing the Black-and-Red largely thanks to their formidable attacking lineup.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46% . A win for DC United had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.79%) . The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result DC United Draw New York City FC 30.47% ( 2.54) 23.53% ( 0.31) 46% ( -2.84)
Both teams to score 61.04% ( 0.67)
59.47% ( 0.12) 40.53% ( -0.12)
37.09% ( 0.12) 62.91% ( -0.12)
74.36% ( 1.74) 25.64% ( -1.74)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.46% ( 2.31) 60.54% ( -2.31)
82.09% ( -1.05) 17.9% ( 1.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.3% ( -1.83) 48.7% ( 1.83)
DC United 30.47%
New York City FC 46%
Draw 23.52%
DC United Draw New York City FC 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.47% 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.52% 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46%
How you voted: DC United vs NY City
DC United
Draw
New York City FC
35
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 10:54:18
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