NY City3 - 0Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: New York City FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes
A week ago, these two teams showed a ton of potency in the attacking third, along with plenty of vulnerabilities at the back. They each have some lethal strikers who rarely miss in front of goal, but we are giving the edge to New York, who have a little more balance and structure to their lineup, whereas the Quakes are still searching for the right formula to keep winning consistently. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 65.77% | 18.05% | 16.18% |
| Both teams to score 61.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.84% | 31.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.42% | 52.58% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.1% | 8.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.58% | 30.42% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.23% | 68.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 4.1% 4-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.99% 5-2 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 0.99% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.37% Total : 65.77% | 1-1 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 2.87% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.05% | 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-2 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.95% Total : 16.18% |
How you voted: NY City vs Earthquakes
Godoy (29')
Ofori (41'), Callens (67'), Herrera (74'), Tinnerholm (89'), Moralez (93')
