Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
46.48% | 25.86% | 27.65% |
Both teams to score 51.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.67% | 52.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% | 74.02% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% | 22.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% | 56.05% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% | 33.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% | 70.32% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.15% Total : 46.48% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |