Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Feb 26, 2022 at 11pm UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 3
NY Red Bulls

Lopez (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Klimala (45+1'), Fernandez (72'), Barlow (90+2')
Casseres Jr (56'), Yearwood (65'), Tolkin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 New York Red Bulls

A difficult proposition awaits the Earthquakes, who will not be overjoyed to kick the season off against a hungry Red Bulls side. The head-to-head record points towards the Eastern Conference side for this one, but a score draw remains the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	New York Red Bulls
42.87%	25.31%	31.82%

Both teams to score 55.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93%

48.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76%

70.24%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64%

22.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14%

55.86%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5%

28.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72%

64.28%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 42.87%

New York Red Bulls 31.82%

Draw 25.31%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.87%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.82%