Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 3am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Portland2 - 0Earthquakes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 53.3% | 21.88% | 24.82% |
| Both teams to score 62.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% | 36.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% | 59.14% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% | 14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.49% | 41.52% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% | 27.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.74% | 63.27% |
| Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers 53.3%
San Jose Earthquakes 24.82%
Draw 21.88%
| Portland Timbers | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.1% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.68% Total : 24.82% |
How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
80.8%Draw
7.7%San Jose Earthquakes
11.5%26
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
May 16, 2021 3am
Gameweek 8
Earthquakes
0-2
Portland
Oct 12, 2020 3am
Sep 17, 2020 2.30am
Gameweek 7
Earthquakes
1-1
Portland
Form Guide
