Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
66.75% | 18.17% | 15.08% |
Both teams to score 58.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.87% | 34.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.99% | 56.02% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.53% | 9.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.2% | 31.8% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.49% | 35.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% | 72.28% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 7.6% 3-0 @ 7.34% 4-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.93% 4-2 @ 2.32% 5-1 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 2.04% 5-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 3.36% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-1 @ 3.48% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.35% Total : 15.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 59 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 57 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 46 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 39 |
9 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 37 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 37 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 34 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 30 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 29 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 50 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 45 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 36 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 32 |
13 | St Louis City | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 32 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 18 |