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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39
Oct 16, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
66.75%18.17%15.08%
Both teams to score 58.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.99%56.02%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.53%9.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.2%31.8%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.28%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.75%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.08%
    Draw 18.17%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 7.6%
3-0 @ 7.34%
4-1 @ 4.48%
4-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.93%
4-2 @ 2.32%
5-1 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 2.04%
5-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 66.75%
1-1 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 3.36%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-1 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 15.08%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
70.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 3am
Aug 9, 2021 12am
Gameweek 24
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
Nov 5, 2020 4am
Gameweek 24
Earthquakes
3-2
Los Angeles
Atuesta (28' og.), Wondolowski (37'), Espinoza (72')
Rios (21'), Yueill (52')
Yueill (61')
Blessing (23'), Rossi (90+3')
Ginella (33'), Murillo (66')
Sep 28, 2020 3.30am
Sep 27, 2020 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30178560322859
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31176853401357
4Orlando City31137115145646
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474843544
6New York City FCNY City31128114744344
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia311091258471139
9Toronto32114173855-1737
10CF MontrealMontreal31910124361-1837
11Nashville SCNashville31810133146-1534
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3189144045-533
13DC United3189144563-1833
14Chicago Fire3279163654-1830
15New England RevolutionNew England3085173260-2829

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410760451552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30148853411250
4Colorado RapidsColorado31155115851750
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125148345
9Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
10Dallas31107144950-137
11Austin FCAustin3199133242-1036
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3288164958-932
13St Louis City31614114357-1432
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233771-3418


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