Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38
Oct 3, 2021 at 3am UK
Empire Field
Vancouver3 - 0Earthquakes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 43.99% | 25% | 31.02% |
| Both teams to score 56.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% | 46.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% | 69.23% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% | 21.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.63% | 54.37% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% | 28.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.74% | 64.26% |
| Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps 43.99%
San Jose Earthquakes 31.02%
Draw 25%
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.02% |
How you voted: Vancouver vs Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
75.0%Draw
18.8%San Jose Earthquakes
6.3%16
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3.30am
Oct 25, 2020 2am
Gameweek 21
Vancouver
2-1
Earthquakes
Oct 8, 2020 3.30am
Gameweek 16
Earthquakes
3-0
Vancouver
Aug 23, 2020 3am
Gameweek 38
Vancouver
P-P
Earthquakes
Jul 16, 2020 2am
Vancouver
3-4
Earthquakes
Dajome (59')
Khemiri (76')
Khemiri (76')
Form Guide
