Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
43.99% | 25% | 31.02% |
Both teams to score 56.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% | 46.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% | 69.23% |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.63% | 54.37% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% | 28.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% | 64.26% |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 44 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 37 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 37 |
11 | DC United | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 34 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 30 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 29 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 51 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 43 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 36 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 32 |
13 | St Louis City | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 32 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 18 |