Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
49.74% | 23.99% | 26.27% |
Both teams to score 56.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% | 45.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% | 67.73% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% | 18.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% | 49.41% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% | 31.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% | 67.4% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |