Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
50.41% | 23.25% | 26.34% |
Both teams to score 58.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.96% | 42.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.55% | 64.44% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% | 16.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.23% | 46.77% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% | 29.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% | 65.22% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.41% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |