

Vancouver3 - 4Earthquakes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
28.17% | 23.61% | 48.22% |
Both teams to score 59.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% | 42.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.32% | 64.68% |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% | 28.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% | 63.71% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% | 17.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% | 48.37% |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 6.95% 1-0 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.22% |