Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
35.54% | 24.46% | 40% |
Both teams to score 59.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% | 43.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.36% | 65.65% |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.82% | 58.19% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% | 21.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% | 54.79% |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |