Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18

Oct 12, 2020 at 3am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Niezgoda (46', 52'), Mora (86')
Williamson (18'), Farfan (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Beason (69'), Rios (79')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
50.33%	21.82%	27.85%

Both teams to score 65.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.04%

33.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.18%

55.81%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11%

13.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.69%

41.31%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99%

24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75%

58.25%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 50.33%

San Jose Earthquakes 27.85%

Draw 21.82%

Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-2 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 6.7% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.85%