Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.