Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.