Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.