Major League Soccer

Jul 29, 2020 at 3.30am UK

ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17

Portland
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Niezgoda (67')
Valeri (18'), Villafana (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Locadia (81' pen.)
Gutman (30'), Gyau (46'), Alashe (90')

Portland win 3-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	FC Cincinnati
56.43%	23.07%	20.5%

Both teams to score 52.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62%

47.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4%

69.6%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41%

16.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61%

46.38%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66%

37.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88%

74.12%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 56.43%

FC Cincinnati 20.5%

Draw 23.07%

Portland Timbers	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.43%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.5%