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Major League Soccer
Mar 20, 2022 at 12am UK
National Sports Center
San Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota Utd
1 - 0
Earthquakes

Amarilla (32')
Trapp (8'), Amarilla (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (10'), Calvo (43'), Cowell (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: New England vs. Minnesota Utd
Monday, June 20 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Two sides in contrasting form, the chances of San Jose ending their rut against a Minnesota side look slim. The head-to-head record sides with the hosts, who should have enough to take three points in this Western Conference clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
56.56%22.31%21.12%
Both teams to score 55.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72%43.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33%65.68%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89%15.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.33%43.67%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62%34.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92%71.09%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 56.56%
    San Jose Earthquakes 21.13%
    Draw 22.31%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 5.84%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-1 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Earthquakes

Minnesota United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Dibassy (12' og.)
Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes
Kallman (45+4'), Abila (69')
Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Cowell (15'), Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
Mar 8, 2020 1am
Earthquakes
2-5
Minnesota Utd
Eriksson (19' pen.), Qazaishvili (53')
Opara (13', 71'), Gregus (26'), Amarilla (32'), Lod (45')
Amarilla (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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