Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Feb 26, 2022 at 6pm UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Burke (35')
Glesnes (41'), Andres Martinez (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lod (23')
Boxall (74'), Lod (79'), Reynoso (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Minnesota United

The Union may not be that much better on paper, but they have enough experience and always seem to find ways to win, and we expect that they will do that on Saturday. Minnesota do not appear to have improved from 2021, and their lack of depth up high could allow the Union to key on Lod, while the rest of the team do not possess the same kind of quality as the Finnish attacking midfielder. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Minnesota United
47.71%	26.15%	26.13%

Both teams to score 49.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.61%

54.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.23%

75.77%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19%

22.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.48%

56.51%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2%

72.79%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 47.7%

Minnesota United 26.13%

Draw 26.15%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.92% Total : 26.13%