Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
61.39% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
Both teams to score 58.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% | 37.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% | 59.77% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.19% | 11.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.97% | 37.03% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% | 33.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% | 70.45% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 7.04% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.76% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 4.2% Total : 61.4% | 1-1 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.99% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-1 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |