Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
45.99% | 24.16% | 29.85% |
Both teams to score 58.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.2% | 43.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% | 66.18% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% | 19.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% | 50.89% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% | 63.22% |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.21% Total : 45.99% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |