Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.