Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 22

Oct 28, 2020 at 11.30pm UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Chicago Fire
54.49%	22.58%	22.93%

Both teams to score 57.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.71%

42.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31%

64.69%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54%

15.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68%

44.32%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83%

32.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35%

68.65%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 54.49%

Chicago Fire 22.93%

Draw 22.57%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.49%	1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 5.97% 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.93%