Major League Soccer

Dec 5, 2021 at 8pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 2
NY City

Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-2 New York City FC

Before the news out of Philly about the amount of players missing we would have pegged the Union to win but due to the amount of omissions on their side the scales have tipped back in the favour of New York, even though they are missing the heart and soul of their team in Castellanos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
42.01%	26.59%	31.41%

Both teams to score 51.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.5%

53.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.98%

75.02%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82%

25.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.9%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5%

31.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11%

67.89%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 42%

New York City FC 31.41%

Draw 26.58%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.41%