Major League Soccer
May 23, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 Sporting Kansas City
If there is something that can be expected with these two teams going head to head it is goals, with each squad having proven their ability to find the back of the net, while they have also struggled to defend.
Sporting Kansas City come into the game with confidence after winning in midweek, but the hosts have had a stronger run as of late which should give them the edge here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.85% . A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.79% .
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.2%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood .
Result San Jose Earthquakes Draw Sporting Kansas City 61.85% ( -0.22) 21.36% ( 0.1) 16.79% ( 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.09)
54.36% ( -0.24) 45.63% ( 0.24)
32.04% ( -0.23) 67.96% ( 0.23)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
85.79% ( -0.14) 14.21% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.06% ( -0.28) 41.93% ( 0.28)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
59.51% ( -0.01) 40.49% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.9% ( -0) 77.09%
San Jose Earthquakes 61.84%
Sporting Kansas City 16.79%
Draw 21.35%
San Jose Earthquakes Draw Sporting Kansas City 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 61.84% 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.35% 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.79%
rhs 2.0
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