Kansas
3 - 3
Earthquakes

Espinoza (4'), Sanchez (47'), Busio (90+1')
Reid (39'), Dia (78'), Espinoza (79'), Russell (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fierro (22'), Salinas (34'), Wondolowski (90+7')
Lima (28'), Lopez (56'), Espinoza (85')

Kansas win 3-0 on penalties

Coverage of the MLS Playoffs First Round clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
56.18%	21.26%	22.56%

Both teams to score 61.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.46%

36.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.31%

58.7%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.03%

12.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.53%

39.47%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71%

29.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75%

65.26%

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 56.18%

San Jose Earthquakes 22.56%

Draw 21.26%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 6.63% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.96% Total : 56.18%	1-1 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.16% Total : 22.56%