Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
42.33% | 24.86% | 32.81% |
Both teams to score 57.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% | 45.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% | 68.05% |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% | 21.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.27% | 54.73% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% | 26.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% | 61.99% |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |