Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.