Major League Soccer

Mar 13, 2022 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Earthquakes

Burke (23'), Gazdag (58' pen.)
Santos (27'), Gazdag (43'), Harriel (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Espinoza (11'), Remedi (26'), Bouda (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

This encounter represents the first meeting between the sides since 2019, and with Philadelphia gaining confidence from a promising start to the season, we think that the hosts will remain unbeaten with a victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
53.2%	24.31%	22.49%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.8%

50.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.84%

72.16%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19%

18.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76%

50.24%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04%

36.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25%

73.75%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 53.19%

San Jose Earthquakes 22.49%

Draw 24.31%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.19%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.92% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.49%