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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

 The teams have had little problem finding the back of the net so far, so we expect goals at both ends in this one. That said, the visitors boast a significantly superior defence, and we are backing them to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
58.22% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21) 22.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 19.52% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.32% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.168 -0.17)45.2% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (-0.161 -0.16)67.55% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)15.22% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (-0.234 -0.23)43.88% (0.235 0.23)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.1% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.89% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 58.22%
    Philadelphia Union 19.52%
    Draw 22.25%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 58.22%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.52%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
21.7%
Draw
30.4%
Philadelphia Union
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
Nov 25, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
0-2
New England

Przybylko (36'), Wagner (73')
Buksa (26'), Buchanan (30')
Polster (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Philadelphia
2-0
New England
Santos (42'), Burke (69')
Andres Martinez (86')

Farrell (31'), Bunbury (55'), Caldwell (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218
> Full Version


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