Major League Soccer

May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 2
New England

Almada (15'), Araujo (63')
Gutman (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Buksa (30', 55')
McNamara (87'), Polster (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Columbus Crew	13	1	16
6	New England Revolution	13	-1	16
7	Toronto	14	-6	15

We said: Atlanta United 1-3 New England Revolution

Miles Robinson is the backbone of the Atlanta defence, and his absence should allow an already potent attacking squad in New England to have plenty of openings to pick apart the Five Stripes in the final third. The Revolution still have a pretty leaky defensive unit, but they should be able to make up for it with all of the chances that they are likely to have in this one, not to mention the fact that they are coming off an offensive outburst in midweek which should help restore some confidence to their attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New England Revolution
59.29%	20.65%	20.07%

Both teams to score 59.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97%

37.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.78%

59.22%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.76%

12.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.06%

37.94%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19%

31.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76%

68.24%

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 59.29%

New England Revolution 20.07%

Draw 20.65%

Atlanta United	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.89% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.62% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.14% Total : 59.29%	1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.65%	1-2 @ 5.36% 0-1 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.52% Total : 20.07%