Major League Soccer

May 22, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
2 - 2
Atlanta

Sapong (25'), Williams (32')
Godoy (59'), Sapong (72'), Muyl (82'), Zubak (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Almada (27'), Dwyer (88')
Ibarra (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Atlanta United

Nashville have been solid on home turf, picking up three wins and one draw from their last four outings in all competitions. In contrast, Atlanta United head into the weekend on a run of four consecutive defeats on the road and five in their last six outings. With that said, we are backing Nashville to make use of their home advantage and come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Atlanta United
43.37% ( 1.56)	25.27% ( -0.21)	31.37% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.48)

48.04% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.44)

70.21% (

-0.44)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.95)

22.12% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

1.42)

55.49% (

-1.42)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

-0.64)

28.78% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

-0.8)

64.63% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 43.37%

Atlanta United 31.37%

Draw 25.27%

Nashville SC	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.37%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.37%