We said: Atlanta United 1-0 Columbus Crew
There is little reason to suspect that Columbus can find their scoring touch on recent evidence, and even a single strike could be enough to seal maximum points for the hosts on Saturday.
Atlanta's attacking lineup can be formidable on their day, and even a spate of injuries will not deny them victory over an ailing opposition side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.