We said: Columbus Crew 1-2 Orlando City
Given their slightly stronger start and a squad packed with talent, we back Orlando City to take all three points at the weekend.
While they have not stood out going forward so far, Pareja's men have impressed defensively, and they certainly have what it takes to hand their hosts a defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.