Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.