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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12am UK
BMO Field
Chicago Fire

Toronto
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kerr (13'), Pozuelo (71' pen., 78')
Pozuelo (31'), Westberg (87'), Priso-Mbongue (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Teran (52'), Przybylko (66')
Przybylko (62'), Shaqiri (75'), Teran (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2- 1 Chicago Fire

 Mistakes have plagued both of these teams so far this season, but Toronto have shown a lot more fight than Chicago over their slump, while they seem to have more chemistry than the Fire, which we believe will be enough to earn them their first victory since April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
46.48% (-0.107 -0.11) 25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.52% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (0.067 0.07)48.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (0.061 0.06)70.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.81% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.47% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.136 0.14)67.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.47%
    Chicago Fire 28.52%
    Draw 25%
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.52%

How you voted: Toronto vs Chicago Fire

Toronto
69.2%
Draw
19.2%
Chicago Fire
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Toronto
3-1
Chicago Fire
Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
Beric (16')
Offor (87')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Toronto
Medran (77')
Pineda (70')
Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Chicago Fire
P-P
Toronto
Jun 18, 2020 1am
Toronto
P-P
Chicago Fire
Sep 29, 2019 10pm
Chicago Fire
2-2
Toronto
Katai (68'), Herbers (77')
Gaitan (85')
Altidore (59'), Gonzalez (80')
Delgado (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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