Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
46.48% (![]() | 25% (![]() | 28.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% (![]() | 48.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% (![]() | 70.42% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% (![]() | 20.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.53% (![]() | 53.47% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% (![]() | 30.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% (![]() | 67.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |