Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2022 at 10pm UK

National Sports Center

Minnesota Utd
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Reynoso (72'), Arriaga (84'), Lod (88')
Trapp (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Navarro (35'), Gimenez (41'), Navarro (52')
Navarro (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

Last Six:

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: New England vs. Minnesota Utd
Monday, June 20 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Colorado Rapids	14	2	18
5	Minnesota United	14	0	18
6	Houston Dynamo	14	-2	18

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

We said: Minnesota United 1-0 Chicago Fire

Dayne St. Clair has earned the chance to have an easy match in goal as he has almost single-handedly kept Minnesota afloat this season, and we do not anticipate that he will have much to do against a passive Chicago side, who have rarely created much in possession. Expect this to be a tight affair with a Fire squad who are tough to break down, while Minnesota have shown flashes of individual brilliance this year, which should be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Chicago Fire
53.99%	24.01%	22%

Both teams to score 51.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5%

49.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.47%

71.53%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75%

18.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71%

49.28%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.96%

37.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17%

73.82%

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 53.98%

Chicago Fire 22%

Draw 24%

Minnesota United	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.98%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.71% Total : 22%