Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18

Nov 5, 2020 at 1am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Aja (64'), Lod (80')
Dibassy (41'), Aja (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beric (17'), Pineda (52')
Calvo (23'), Aliseda (78')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Chicago Fire
40%	25.04%	34.96%

Both teams to score 57.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.97%

46.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66%

68.33%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12%

22.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38%

56.62%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42%

25.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55%

60.45%

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 40%

Chicago Fire 34.96%

Draw 25.03%

Minnesota United	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.96%