Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.