Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.