Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toronto in this match.