

NY City2 - 1Cincinnati
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
61.67% | 21.29% | 17.04% |
Both teams to score 51.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% | 67.22% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.98% | 14.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.44% | 41.55% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.29% | 39.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.61% | 76.39% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.78% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.04% |