Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Sampdoria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Brescia
Friday, March 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, March 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-3 Frosinone
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
47.9% ( 0.41) | 25.57% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.05) | 51.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.04) | 73.62% ( -0.05) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.2) | 21.66% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.21% ( 0.31) | 54.79% ( -0.31) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( -0.25) | 34.32% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.98% ( -0.27) | 71.02% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Spezia 47.9%
Sampdoria 26.53%
Draw 25.57%
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.53% |
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 4.15pm
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Spezia
0-0
Sampdoria
Apr 22, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 17, 2022 5pm
