Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Sampdoria2 - 1Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Spezia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
44.96% ( 0.06) | 25.81% ( -0.02) | 29.24% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( 0.06) | 51.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 0.06) | 73.08% ( -0.06) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.06) | 22.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.58% ( 0.08) | 56.42% ( -0.08) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0) | 31.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0) | 68.35% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Sampdoria 44.95%
Spezia 29.24%
Draw 25.8%
| Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.24% |
How you voted: Sampdoria vs Spezia
Sampdoria
80.0%Draw
0.0%Spezia
20.0%5
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 17, 2022 5pm
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
