Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 2
Spezia

Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
42.15%	25.22%	32.63%

Both teams to score 56.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.61%

47.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4%

69.6%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59%

22.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07%

55.92%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36%

27.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82%

63.18%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 42.15%

Spezia 32.63%

Draw 25.21%

Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.15%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.63%