Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
42.15% | 25.22% | 32.63% |
Both teams to score 56.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.61% | 47.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% | 69.6% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% | 22.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.07% | 55.92% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% | 27.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% | 63.18% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
17 | Como | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Monza | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
19 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |