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Sampdoria logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Spezia Calcio logo

Sampdoria
2 - 2
Spezia

Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')

Preview: Sampdoria vs. Spezia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sampdoria host Spezia in Serie A on Wednesday, with the visitors looking to remain outside of the relegation places by gaining a positive result.

The home team, meanwhile, are looking to secure a fourth top-half finish in the last five seasons.


Match preview

Sampdoria manager Claudio Ranieri pictured on January 30, 2021© Reuters

After enduring a hugely disappointing season in which they finished 15th in the table last time out, Sampdoria have stabilised this campaign under the stewardship of Claudio Ranieri.

The former Leicester City manager, who guided the Foxes to a maiden Premier League title over five years ago now, has steered Sampdoria to ninth position in the table as things stand, with three wins from their last five matches hugely helping with that.

However, they were outclassed by Ranieri's former club Inter Milan, who were recently anointed Serie A champions for the first time since 2010, in a 5-1 defeat at the weekend.

Many expected Inter to suffer from a hangover after rightly taking part in wild celebrations in Milan throughout the week, but Antonio Conte's side were clearly fuelled on philosophical good spirits rather than alcoholic ones, with Alexis Sanchez's first-half brace helping them to a comfortable victory.

With a five-point cushion ahead of Udinese and Bologna in the bottom half, one more win should be enough to secure a top-half finish for Sampdoria, with a home match against Spezia representing an excellent opportunity of achieving that.

Spezia coach Vincenzo Italiano on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Few would have given Spezia much of a chance in terms of staying up in the club's first ever Serie A campaign, but their destiny remains in their own hands with only three matches of the season remaining.

Vincenzo Italiano, who guided the club to promotion via the playoffs last season, has fostered a side capable of competing against any team in the division, as shown by their recent 1-1 draw against Inter.

However, Spezia's form has significantly dipped in recent weeks, with that draw representing one of only two points they have gained in the last five matches.

They were thrashed 4-1 at home to Napoli on Saturday, with Victor Osimhen's first-half brace sending Gennaro Gattuso's Champions League-chasing side happily on their way.

Fortunately for Spezia, Benevento have been in freefall in recent months, with Filippo Inzaghi's side picking up only one point from their last six matches.

Spezia hold a three-point cushion over their fellow minnows, as well as a stronger head-to-head record, so they can actually afford one more loss than them between now and the end of the season and still survive.

Sampdoria Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Spezia Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Spezia's Simone Bastoni celebrates scoring their second goal on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Ranieri appears to be in the enviable position of having no known injury or suspension concerns ahead of Wednesday's visit of Spezia.

Given the short turnaround in fixtures, though, the 67-year-old may look to freshen up things with a few changes, particularly after such a disappointing performance against Inter on Saturday.

Veteran forward Fabio Quagliarella could be handed a start, with former Southampton defender Maya Yoshida also an option to potentially shore up the defence.

Spezia, meanwhile, will travel without Matteo Ricci after the midfielder picked up his fifth booking of the season against Napoli.

Gennaro Acampora is primed to replace him at the base of midfield, while goalkeeper Titas Krapikas remains unavailable due to a finger injury.

Sampdoria possible starting lineup:
Audero; Bereszynski, Tonelli, Yoshida, Augello; Candreva, Thorsby, Silva, Jankto; Quagliarella, Balde

Spezia possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Vignali, Ismajli, Chabot, Marchizza; Esteves, Acampora, Maggiore; Verde, Nzola, Gyasi


SM words green background

We say: Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia

We expect Sampdoria to be a little too strong for Spezia, who will undoubtedly put up a good fight as they always do under Italiano.

In reality, though, no outcome here would come as a surprise, especially with Spezia having more at stake to fight for on the day.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Spezia

Sampdoria
70.8%
Draw
20.0%
Spezia
9.2%
65
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Inter Milan's Achraf Hakimi celebrates scoring against Crotone in Serie A on May 1, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo1494129121731
2Pisa1493225121330
3SpeziaSpezia137601981127
4Cesena146442319422
5Cremonese135351817118
6Brescia145361820-218
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia144641316-318
8BariBari133821511417
9Palermo134541311217
10Mantova144551417-317
11CatanzaroCatanzaro1421021513216
12Carrarese144461215-316
13Cosenza CalcioCosenza144731414015
14Modena143651920-115
15Sampdoria134361618-215
16Reggiana143651416-215
17SudtirolSudtirol134181420-613
18Salernitana143471322-913
19Cittadella13337619-1312
20FrosinoneFrosinone13175818-1010


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