Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia3 - 2Crotone
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Crotone |
| 56.55% | 22.72% | 20.73% |
| Both teams to score 53.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
