Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
3 - 1
Spezia

Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Piccoli (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Spezia
71.78%	16.1%	12.11%

Both teams to score 57.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.88%

31.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.47%

52.53%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.39%

7.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.79%

27.21%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36%

37.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58%

74.41%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 71.78%

Spezia 12.11%

Draw 16.1%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 5.26% 4-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 3.9% 5-0 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 2.51% 5-2 @ 1.29% 6-0 @ 1.16% 6-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.74% Total : 71.78%	1-1 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 4.54% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.1%	1-2 @ 3.52% 0-1 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-2 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 12.11%